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2010 Election Predictions

Willie Said:

Will the Massachusetts election change Obama's agenda?

We Answered:

While it may not change Obama's agenda, it WILL change how much support he receives among the more moderate Democrats in congress. If Brown wins, they will obviously lose their super-majority. But even if he loses, the fact that it is a tight race in such a liberal state (Democrats outnumber Republicans 3-1) will surely cause some panic with the Democrat senators and congressmen who represent more conservative areas. The healthcare bill, for example, only needs one senator or three congressmen to switch their votes for the bill to fail.

Immigration reform, in my opinion, will pass if voted on before the 2010 elections. If you look at previous bills introduced, there are quite a few Republicans, like John McCain, who support granting citizenship to illegal aliens. The Comprehensive Immigration Reform Act of 2006 (S. 2611) passed the senate with 62 Ayes, 36 Nays, 2 Present/Not Voting and had several Republican co-sponsors including McCain, Brownback, Graham, Hagel, and Martinez. However, the legislation stalled in the House. Today, Democrats have a commanding majority in the House and Senate, making the passage of immigration reform almost a certainty.

This election will definitely have an impact. If Scott Brown wins, will Democrats risk everything and try to break the filibuster using the nuclear option (reconciliation)? Though it's never been used before for this purpose, they are currently threatening to do just that, allowing them to pass the healthcare bill with 51 votes. Furthermore, the Massachusetts Secretary of State (Dem) has warned that he may take several weeks to officially certify the winner of the election, meaning that even if Brown wins, the current Democrat replacement for Ted Kennedy would be able to cast his vote in favor of the bill for several more weeks. Originally, Kennedy's seat would have been vacant under Massachusetts law until a special election was held. This law was passed to prevent then-governor Mitt Romney from appointing a Republican and was changed back after Kennedy's death to allow the Democrat replacement. As you can see, there are several scenarios that would allow Democrats to pass healthcare reform.

Marjorie Said:

Election Prediction: What will Obama's Approval Ratings be NOV 2010...?

We Answered:

Economy improves- higher

worsens- lower

Raymond Said:

How do you feel about my election prediction?

We Answered:

i would be one of the ones that would be barfing.I cannot stand cameron or anyone who likes him! he repulses me and yes i think we are better with brown

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