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2010 Senate Elections

Brad Said:

2010 Senate House elections? Who is IN FAVOR of unseating ANY Member WHO VOTED For the Stim-less Bill$?

We Answered:

Unseat?... Now would that just leave all the Republicans? Fat chance! why don't you wait and see what happens it takes more than a couple of days to undo 8 years worth of greed fraud and selfserving interests This is going to take years .. President Obama may not have the exact perfect plan but at least he is trying ... he is doing SOMETHING . better than NOTHING... support the USA

Tracy Said:

Predictions for 2010 U.S. senate/congressional elections?

We Answered:

I expect the Republicans to pick up between 3 and 6 seats in the Senate, and many (at least 25) seats in the House. The Republicans might take the House, but it is exceptionally unlikely they will take the Senate.

There are more vacant Republican Senate seats than vacant Democratic Senate seats in 2010 but: (1) most of the vacant Republican seats are in relatively safe Republican states or the likely Republican candidates are very popular and leading in the polls, and (2) several Democratic incumbents will face tough races.

Of the vacant Republican seats, the only ones in danger of switching are Ohio and New Hampshire. New Hampshire will be tight, but Rob Portman (the likely Republican nominee) is currently leading in all polls in Ohio.

A number of Democratic incumbents are in trouble. Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas and Byron Dorgan of North Dakota are in deep trouble and will probably lose to Republican challengers. Harry Reid of Nevada is behind by more than 10 points to his likely Republican challenger. Chris Dodd of Connecticut has been facing ethical problems and is behind in some polls. Michael Bennett of Colorado is also running behind in a number of polls. Arlen Spector (former Republican) is running even in the polls with his likely Republican challenger -- running even with a challenger is always bad news for an incumbent, because undecideds tend to break 2:1 in favor of a challenger. Kirsten Gillibrand of New York is running about even with Pataki (her likely opponent), again bad news for the incumbent. Even Barbara Boxer of California is facing a tough race from Carly Fiorina, a moderate and well-financed Republican. The Democratic incumbents will win in some of these races, but not most of them.

The Democratic majority in the House depends on a number of new members representing swing districts. More than 35 House Democrats represent districts that voted for McCain in the last Presidential election. The Republicans are targeting those seats and will probably win most of them. The Republicans will probably not retake the House, although that is a possibility. However, they will likely pick up at least 25 seats and make the House very close.

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